Monday, November 18, 2024

NTPC Green IPO Analysis


 

The NTPC Green Energy IPO is set to open for subscription on November 19, 2024, and close on November 22, 2024. The price band is ₹102-108 per share, and the lot size is 138 shares. The IPO aims to raise ₹10,000 crore, primarily to fund its renewable energy projects and reduce debt​


Financial and Growth Highlights:

  • Portfolio: As of September 2024, NTPC Green Energy had an operational capacity of 3.3 GW and plans to expand this to 6 GW by FY25 and 19 GW by FY27.
  • Revenue Growth: The company's revenue grew by over 1,000% between FY23 and FY24, and profit after tax increased by 101.32%​
  • Valuation: At the upper price band, the IPO is priced at a post-issue EV/EBITDA multiple of approximately 35.3x FY25 estimates, suggesting aggressive pricing​


GMP (Grey Market Premium):

As of November 17, 2024, the GMP for the IPO is ₹1, suggesting a negligible premium over the upper price band of ₹108. This translates to an estimated listing price of ₹109, indicating limited upside potential for short-term gains​


Investor Considerations:

  • Positives: Strong backing by NTPC, robust growth potential in renewable energy, and focus on clean energy solutions.
  • Concerns: High valuations and a low GMP may deter investors looking for short-term listing gains. However, long-term investors may consider the IPO given the company's growth trajectory in renewable energy​.

The IPO is a better fit for long-term investors who believe in the renewable energy sector's growth rather than those seeking immediate returns.

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